Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000110 0.000116 0.000123 0.000131 0.000140 0.000149 0.000160
2024-12-22 0.000099 0.000109 0.000119 0.000131 0.000145 0.000162 0.000183
2024-12-29 0.000094 0.000105 0.000118 0.000133 0.000153 0.000177 0.000208
2025-01-05 0.000087 0.000099 0.000113 0.000130 0.000153 0.000181 0.000222
2025-01-12 0.000081 0.000093 0.000107 0.000125 0.000150 0.000181 0.000228
2025-01-19 0.000076 0.000088 0.000102 0.000122 0.000148 0.000182 0.000236
2025-01-26 0.000071 0.000083 0.000097 0.000116 0.000142 0.000178 0.000235
2025-02-02 0.000069 0.000081 0.000096 0.000117 0.000146 0.000187 0.000254
2025-02-09 0.000068 0.000081 0.000097 0.000119 0.000151 0.000199 0.000280
2025-02-16 0.000067 0.000080 0.000097 0.000121 0.000157 0.000211 0.000309
2025-02-23 0.000068 0.000082 0.000100 0.000128 0.000169 0.000235 0.000364
2025-03-02 0.000065 0.000079 0.000097 0.000125 0.000167 0.000235 0.000372
2025-03-09 0.000063 0.000076 0.000095 0.000122 0.000166 0.000239 0.000392
2025-03-16 0.000061 0.000075 0.000094 0.000122 0.000169 0.000249 0.000428
2025-03-23 0.000060 0.000074 0.000094 0.000125 0.000176 0.000268 0.000489
2025-03-30 0.000058 0.000072 0.000091 0.000122 0.000174 0.000269 0.000509
2025-04-06 0.000055 0.000069 0.000087 0.000117 0.000168 0.000264 0.000509
2025-04-13 0.000053 0.000066 0.000085 0.000114 0.000165 0.000261 0.000517
2025-04-20 0.000050 0.000063 0.000081 0.000109 0.000158 0.000251 0.000499
2025-04-27 0.000050 0.000062 0.000080 0.000110 0.000161 0.000262 0.000552
2025-05-04 0.000049 0.000062 0.000081 0.000112 0.000167 0.000281 0.000636
2025-05-11 0.000049 0.000062 0.000081 0.000114 0.000173 0.000301 0.000735
2025-05-18 0.000049 0.000063 0.000084 0.000119 0.000187 0.000342 0.000965